{"id":10143745,"date":"2026-05-03T16:12:53","date_gmt":"2026-05-03T08:12:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/?p=10143745"},"modified":"2026-05-03T16:12:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-03T08:12:53","slug":"%e5%8f%b0%e7%81%a3%e6%96%b0%e8%81%9e%e9%80%9a%e8%a8%8a%e7%a4%be-%e8%8f%af%e7%88%be%e8%a1%97%e5%82%b3%e5%a5%87%e7%99%bc%e5%87%ba%e5%b4%a9%e7%9b%a4%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%ef%bc%81%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e6%81%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/03\/%e5%8f%b0%e7%81%a3%e6%96%b0%e8%81%9e%e9%80%9a%e8%a8%8a%e7%a4%be-%e8%8f%af%e7%88%be%e8%a1%97%e5%82%b3%e5%a5%87%e7%99%bc%e5%87%ba%e5%b4%a9%e7%9b%a4%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%ef%bc%81%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e6%81%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u50b3\u5947\u767c\u51fa\u5d29\u76e4\u8b66\u544a\uff01\u7f8e\u80a1\u6050\u8df3\u6c3430%\u3000\u5e2d\u6797\uff1a\u8870\u9000\u5df2\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\n\n
\n\n

\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\n\n<\/a>\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u5728\u7f8e\u80a1\u983b\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\uff08AI\uff09\u6d6a\u6f6e\u63a8\u5347\u5e02\u5834\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u8cc7\u6df1\u9810\u6e2c\u5bb6\u5e2d\u6797\uff08Gary Shilling\uff09\u537b\u6f51\u4e0b\u4e00\u76c6\u51b7\u6c34\u3002\u9019\u4f4d\u7f8e\u6797\u8b49\u5238\u524d\u9996\u5e2d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u8fd1\u65e5\u516c\u958b\u793a\u8b66\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\u5df2\u5e7e\u4e4e\u662f\u677f\u4e0a\u91d8\u91d8\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u6050\u5c07\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u6a94 30%\uff0c\u4e14\u9019\u5834\u4ee4\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u81bd\u6230\u5fc3\u9a5a\u7684\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u6700\u5feb\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u6b63\u5f0f\u5f15\u7206\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u4f30\u503c\u904e\u9ad8\u8207\u8ca1\u653f\u523a\u6fc0\u5331\u4e4f\u6210\u81f4\u547d\u50b7<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u6839\u64da\u300a\u5546\u696d\u5167\u5e55\u300b\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u5e2d\u6797\u5c0d\u7576\u524d\u5e02\u5834\u524d\u666f\u6301\u9ad8\u5ea6\u60b2\u89c0\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\u76ee\u524d\u7f8e\u80a1\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u5df2\u6500\u5347\u81f3\u4ee4\u4eba\u77a0\u76ee\u7d50\u820c\u7684\u300c\u5929\u6587\u6c34\u6e96\u300d\u3002\u5728\u4ed6\u770b\u4f86\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u63a8\u51fa\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u8ca1\u653f\u523a\u6fc0\u8a08\u756b\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u5c55\u73fe\u51fa\u8d85\u4e4e\u9810\u671f\u7684\u5f37\u52c1\u97cc\u6027\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u96e3\u4ee5\u626d\u8f49\u9839\u52e2\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ed6\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u5169\u7a2e\u8f49\u6a5f\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5fae\u4e4e\u5176\u5fae\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7e41\u69ae\u80cc\u5f8c\u96b1\u85cf\u8457\u6975\u5ea6\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u4e09\u5927\u8b66\u8a0a\uff1a\u623f\u5e02\u505c\u6eef\u3001\u652f\u51fa\u653e\u7de9\u8207\u6536\u5165\u840e\u7e2e<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u70ba\u4e86\u4f50\u8b49\u300c\u8870\u9000\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u300d\u7684\u8ad6\u9ede\uff0c\u5e2d\u6797\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u6578\u9805\u95dc\u9375\u6578\u64da\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u74b0\u5883\u5c0e\u81f4\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5e02\u5834\u9677\u5165\u9577\u671f\u505c\u6eef\uff0c\u8cb7\u8ce3\u96d9\u65b9\u89c0\u671b\u6c23\u6c1b\u6fc3\u539a\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1 AI \u9818\u57df\u7684\u8cc7\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u770b\u4f3c\u84ec\u52c3\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u9ad4\u79c1\u90e8\u9580\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u6210\u9577\u7387\u5df2\u5f9e\u75ab\u60c5\u671f\u9593\u7684 24% \u9ad8\u5cf0\u66b4\u8dcc\u81f3\u50c5\u5269 3.9%\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u4f01\u696d\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u4fe1\u5fc3\u56b4\u91cd\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u6700\u4ee4\u4eba\u64d4\u6182\u7684\u662f\u652f\u6490\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e09\u4e4b\u4e8c\u7522\u503c\u7684\u300c\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u300d\u3002\u5e2d\u6797\u5206\u6790\uff0c3 \u6708\u5be6\u969b\u53ef\u652f\u914d\u6240\u5f97\u6210\u9577\u7387\u964d\u81f3 0.4%\uff0c\u5275\u4e0b\u8fd1\u4e09\u5e74\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u800c\u5132\u84c4\u7387 3.6% \u4e5f\u662f 2022 \u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u4f4e\u9ede\u3002\u7576\u6c11\u773e\u8377\u5305\u7e2e\u6c34\u4e14\u5132\u84c4\u8017\u76e1\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u610f\u9858\u52e2\u5fc5\u5d29\u6f70\uff0c\u9019\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u800c\u8a00\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u5371\u96aa\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n

\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\n\n<\/a>\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u6b77\u53f2\u6a19\u6e96\u8861\u91cf\uff1a\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e09\u6210\u4e26\u975e\u5929\u65b9\u591c\u8b5a<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u96d6\u7136\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u66b4\u8dcc 30% \u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\u611f\u5230\u9707\u9a5a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e2d\u6797\u76f4\u8a00\uff0c\u82e5\u5f9e\u9577\u671f\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u6578\u64da\u4f86\u770b\uff0c20% \u6216 30% \u7684\u4fee\u6b63\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e26\u4e0d\u7f55\u898b\u3002\u4ed6\u904e\u53bb\u56db\u5e74\u4f86\u59cb\u7d42\u7dad\u6301\u60b2\u89c0\u57fa\u8abf\uff0c\u66fe\u591a\u6b21\u8b66\u544a\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u8207 AI \u9818\u57df\u5b58\u5728\u300c\u6975\u7aef\u6295\u6a5f\u300d\u6ce1\u6cab\u3002\u4ed6\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u7576\u524d\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u71b1\u5ea6\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u7531\u7092\u4f5c\u5e36\u52d5\u7684\u904e\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u5c0e\u706b\u7dda\u5f15\u71c3\uff0c\u8cc7\u91d1\u64a4\u9003\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c07\u8d85\u4e4e\u60f3\u50cf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u61c9\u5be9\u614e\u56e0\u61c9\u6f5b\u5728\u6ce2\u52d5<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u5118\u7ba1\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u6709\u8a31\u591a\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u4ecd\u770b\u597d AI \u80fd\u5e36\u52d5\u9577\u671f\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u4f46\u5e2d\u6797\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u7121\u7591\u70ba\u904e\u71b1\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u6572\u97ff\u8b66\u9418\u3002\u4ed6\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5c1a\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u5177\u9ad4\u7684\u89f8\u767c\u56e0\u7d20\u70ba\u4f55\uff0c\u4f46\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u5df2\u7d93\u9054\u5230\u81e8\u754c\u9ede\u3002\u96a8\u8457 2026 \u5e74\u5e02\u5834\u74b0\u5883\u9762\u81e8\u66f4\u591a\u8b8a\u6578\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u5728\u5e03\u5c40\u9ad8\u8cc7\u7522\u985e\u5225\u6642\uff0c\u66f4\u61c9\u7559\u610f\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u6578\u64da\u7684\u60e1\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u514d\u5728\u5d29\u76e4\u4f86\u81e8\u6642\u63aa\u624b\u4e0d\u53ca\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u7121\u7368\u6709\u5076\uff0c\u96fb\u5f71\u300a\u5927\u8ce3\u7a7a\u300b\u539f\u578b\u3001\u77e5\u540d\u64cd\u76e4\u624b\u8c9d\u745e\uff08Michael Burry\uff09\u9006\u52e2\u91cd\u62bc\uff0c\u8cb7\u9032 2027 \u5e74\u5230\u671f\u8ce3\u6b0a\u5927\u8209\u505a\u7a7a\u8cbb\u534a\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c\u6676\u7247\u80a1\u5c07\u66b4\u8dcc\u4e09\u6210\u300c\u56de\u539f\u5f62\u300d\u3002\u96d6\u4ed6\u770b\u591a\u8edf\u9ad4\u80a1\u4e26\u52a0\u78bc\u5fae\u8edf\uff0c\u4f46\u770b\u7a7a AI \u786c\u9ad4\u7684\u884c\u70ba\u4ecd\u906d\u7db2\u9178\u7206\uff0c\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u591a\u982d\u7e8c\u653b\u7684\u300c\u5f37\u529b\u560e\u7a7a\u71c3\u6599\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n

\nTop economist Gary Shilling says a recession and a deep stock-market plunge are likely by year-endhttps:\/\/t.co\/TGOaTeEoDa #economy\u2014 LorinK99 (@K99Lorin) May 2, 2026<\/p>\n\n\n

\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n<\/p>\n\n\n

\n2026\/05\/03 16:12<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\u8f49\u8f09\u81ea\u4e09\u7acb\u65b0\u805e\u7db2: https:\/\/www.setn.com\/\/News.aspx?NewsID=1832777&utm_campaign=viewallnews<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\n
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u6700\u65b0\u6587\u7ae0<\/span><\/h2><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u97d3\u8077\uff0f\u738b\u5f65\u7a0b\u90237\u6230\u6295\u6eff5\u5c40\uff01\u59313\u52061\u8cac\u5931\u7121\u95dc\u52dd\u6557\u3000\u8cac\u5931\u5206\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u81f31.80<\/a><\/h3><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u600e\u80fd\u4e0d\u611b\u8eca\uff0f\u7d14\u96fb\u8a08\u756b\u558a\u5361\uff01\u611b\u5feb\u7f85\u5bc6\u6b50\u51fa\u7d55\u62db\u3001\u4e8c\u5927\u4e3b\u529b\u8eca\u7e8c\u547d<\/a><\/h3><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u4e2d\u8077\uff0f\u5fb7\u4fdd\u62c9\u9996\u79c06\u5c40\u59311\u5206\uff01\u66fe\u5b50\u7950\u6572\u518d\u898b\u5b89\u6253\u3000\u96c4\u9df9\u5ef6\u9577\u8cfd\u6c23\u8d70\u5144\u5f1f<\/a><\/h3><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u97d3\u8077\uff0f\u738b\u5f65\u7a0b\u90237\u6230\u6295\u6eff5\u5c40\uff01\u59313\u52061\u8cac\u5931\u7121\u95dc\u52dd\u6557\u3000\u8cac\u5931\u5206\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u81f31.80<\/a><\/h3><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u4e2d\u8077\uff0f\u5fb7\u4fdd\u62c9\u9996\u79c06\u5c40\u59311\u5206\uff01\u66fe\u5b50\u7950\u6572\u518d\u898b\u5b89\u6253\u3000\u96c4\u9df9\u5ef6\u9577\u8cfd\u6c23\u8d70\u5144\u5f1f<\/a><\/h3><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>
<\/div><\/div>\n\n
\n<\/div>\n\n
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u672c\u9031\u71b1\u9580\u6587\u7ae0<\/span><\/h2><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u97d3\u8077\uff0f\u738b\u5f65\u7a0b\u90237\u6230\u6295\u6eff5\u5c40\uff01\u59313\u52061\u8cac\u5931\u7121\u95dc\u52dd\u6557\u3000\u8cac\u5931\u5206\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u81f31.80<\/a><\/h3><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u600e\u80fd\u4e0d\u611b\u8eca\uff0f\u7d14\u96fb\u8a08\u756b\u558a\u5361\uff01\u611b\u5feb\u7f85\u5bc6\u6b50\u51fa\u7d55\u62db\u3001\u4e8c\u5927\u4e3b\u529b\u8eca\u7e8c\u547d<\/a><\/h3><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u4e2d\u8077\uff0f\u5fb7\u4fdd\u62c9\u9996\u79c06\u5c40\u59311\u5206\uff01\u66fe\u5b50\u7950\u6572\u518d\u898b\u5b89\u6253\u3000\u96c4\u9df9\u5ef6\u9577\u8cfd\u6c23\u8d70\u5144\u5f1f<\/a><\/h3><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u97d3\u8077\uff0f\u738b\u5f65\u7a0b\u90237\u6230\u6295\u6eff5\u5c40\uff01\u59313\u52061\u8cac\u5931\u7121\u95dc\u52dd\u6557\u3000\u8cac\u5931\u5206\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u81f31.80<\/a><\/h3><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u4e2d\u8077\uff0f\u5fb7\u4fdd\u62c9\u9996\u79c06\u5c40\u59311\u5206\uff01\u66fe\u5b50\u7950\u6572\u518d\u898b\u5b89\u6253\u3000\u96c4\u9df9\u5ef6\u9577\u8cfd\u6c23\u8d70\u5144\u5f1f<\/a><\/h3><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>
<\/div><\/div>\n\n
\n\n
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div><\/div><\/div>

Post gallery<\/span><\/h2><\/div><\/div><\/div>
\"\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u3010\u5c08\u5bb6\u4e4b\u773c\u3011\u9ad8\u9435\u8cc7\u5b89\u5931\u5b88<\/a><\/div>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>
\"dummy-img\"<\/a><\/div>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>
\"dummy-img\"<\/a><\/div>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>
\"dummy-img\"<\/a><\/div>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>
\"\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u4e2d\u8077\uff0f\u674e\u73e0\u73e2IG\u66dd\u51495\u6708\u73ed\u8868\u3000\u8df36\u5834\u90fd\u5728\u4e94\u3001\u516d\u3001\u65e5\uff01\u67093\u5834\u4e0d\u6015\u5ef6\u8cfd\"<\/a><\/div>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>
\"\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-115\u5e74\u300c\u6d77\u54e1\u65b0\u661f\u57f9\u80b2\u8a08\u756b\u300d\u7b2c1\u968e\u6bb5\u958b\u653e\u5831\u540d<\/a><\/div>
<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>
<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u5728\u7f8e\u80a1\u983b\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\uff08AI … Continue Reading\u53f0\u7063\u65b0\u805e\u901a\u8a0a\u793e-\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u50b3\u5947\u767c\u51fa\u5d29\u76e4\u8b66\u544a\uff01\u7f8e\u80a1\u6050\u8df3\u6c3430%\u3000\u5e2d\u6797\uff1a\u8870\u9000\u5df2\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10143744,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[47],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image":{"url":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/setn_figure-695.jpg"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10143745"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10143745"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10143745\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10143746,"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10143745\/revisions\/10143746"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10143744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10143745"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10143745"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/twkeypoint.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10143745"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}